Why I Don't Believe Ken Block's Fire Department Overtime Analysis

1. Confusing the Scheduling Cycle with the Pay Period


8-Week Scheduling Cycle vs 7-Day Pay Period

WeekScheduled
Hours
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
148 Scheduled
10
Scheduled
10
      
  Scheduled
14
Scheduled
14
   
248 Scheduled
10
Scheduled
10
    
   Scheduled
14
Scheduled
14
  
348  Scheduled
10
Scheduled
10
   
    Scheduled
14
Scheduled
14
 
448   Scheduled
10
Scheduled
10
  
     Scheduled
14
Scheduled
14
534    Scheduled
10
Scheduled
10
 
      Scheduled
14
634     Scheduled
10
Scheduled
10
Scheduled
14
      
738      Scheduled
10
Scheduled
14
Scheduled
14
     
838Scheduled
10
      
 Scheduled
14
Scheduled
14
    

Mr. Block assumed an 8-day pay period aligned with the scheduling cycle.

There are a number of problems with using 8 days as the pay period:

The only way to compare a firefighter's schedule to a 40-hour week in the private sector would be to use the 7-day pay period, and it makes sense to do so because that is the pay period specified in the contract.

2. Methodological Errors

Use of Shifts vs Hours

There are hundreds of entries in the accountability logs flagged as overtime that are not full shifts. Mr. Block's analysis appears to have counted these as full shifts.

Here is an example (from page 11 of the foils presented at the 6/6/2018 town council meeting). The circled area shows a lieutenant working two overtime shifts after his scheduled day shifts on 7/16 and 7/17/2017.

The red circle indicates that he had been paid for overtime without having worked all scheduled shifts.

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So for this firefighter, two 14-hour night shifts were counted as overtime (28 hours at time and a half = 42 hours of regular wages).

A careful examination of the detailed operational history reveals that in fact these were late runs:

The two entries totaled 1.5 hours. Under the current contract, firefighters are entitled to overtime wages for late runs, so this would have actually incurred 2.25 hours of regular wages, but Mr. Block counted it as two full night shifts or 42 hours of regular wages. There are hundreds of late runs in the data.

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3. Sensational Anecdotal Claims Presented with No Documentation

Despite having claimed that he found nothing illegal or improper in his analysis and suggesting a more thorough analysis was warranted to understand the data he presented, Mr. Block has been active on social media
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and local talk radio (at 38:30 in the audio clip) presenting claims of gross abuse of overtime policies by East Greenwich firefighters, but with no support beyond undocumented anecdotal evidence or summaries based on the flawed methodology previously identified.

They also ignore the fact that there is a strict policy for offering voluntary overtime hours that rules out the kind of behavior that Mr. Block alleges, with several years of history to show that it is being followed.

4. Failure to Distinguish Orderbacks from Voluntary Overtime

Allegations of "gaming the system" assume that overtime shifts are voluntary, ignoring the fact that firefighters are often ordered to work an overtime shift that they otherwise would not choose to.

There is no way to tell from the accountability data whether a firefighter worked an overtime shift voluntarily or was ordered in.

We obtained the orderback lists for firefighters and officers through an APRA request. These show that between January 2017 and October 2018 firefighters were ordered to work 268 overtime shifts, and that the prevalence of orderbacks is much higher in recent months.

This means that 199 times in 2018, an overtime shift was offered and no one volunteered to take it. This calls into question the assertion that firefighters are "gaming the system" to get as many overtime hours as they can.

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Despite assurances that he has "crunched the numbers", Mr. Block stated at the end of his June 6th presentation that he had presented only a cursory examination of the data, essentially going through the accountability sheets and mapping them to the calendar.

Finally, at the close of his presentation, he said that we needed to "dive deeper and understand" the data. We took this as an invitation to conduct a thorough, quantitative analysis of the overtime data.

A Careful, Thorough Quantitative Analysis

Using data from an APRA request for the same data supplied to Mr. Block, we constructed a shift-by-shift operational history of the East Greenwich fire department.

From the operational history, we constructed a table of hours worked and wages earned for every firefighter for every pay period that overlapped any part of FY2018 (6/25/2017-5/24/2018) in the data.

Effect of Changes to Overtime Policy

In addition, we computed overtime wages that would be paid under policies common in the private sector: only hours beyond the number of scheduled firefighter duty hours in the pay period qualify for overtime, with vacation and other types of leave not counted as hours worked.

We computed a second overtime wage that allowed collateral duty hours worked (which are all voluntary) to be used to satisfy the required number of hours to receive overtime (with overtime still paid only on firefighter duty hours).

Highest Firefighter Compensation

"Gaming the System"